SLCESPCO
National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
February 18, 2014

San Juan Basin Special Forecast Group

February mid-month Forecasts

Seasonal and Monthly forecasts for 2014
Forecast volumes in thousands of acre-feet (KAF)
Exceedance probabilities in percent

Rio Blanco FORECAST
              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    36.0    47.0    62.0     


Navajo-Chromo FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    33.0    52.0    69.0     

Little Navajo Near Chromo FORECAST **
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul     2.5     5.0    7.5     
       Feb     0.07    0.09   1.2
       Mar     0.25    0.4    0.6
       Apr     0.7     1.0    2.3

Vallecito Reservoir FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   142.0   200.0   250.0     
       Feb     4.3     4.6     5.1
       Mar     7.0    10.0    17.0
       Apr    18.0    26.0    38.0


Navajo Reservoir FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   390.0   640.0   930.0     
       Feb    20.0    25.0    36.0
       Mar    50.0    76.0   115.0
       Apr    88.0   145.0   190.0


Animas-Durango FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   310.0   415.0   520.0     
       Feb     9.5    11.0    12.5
       Mar    15.0    20.0    31.0
       Apr    40.0    55.0    77.0


Lemon Reservoir FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    40.0    50.0    69.0     
       Feb     0.6     0.7     0.9
       Mar     1.0     1.7     2.9
       Apr     3.3     6.0    10.0