SLCESPCO
National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
April 16, 2014

San Juan Basin Special Forecast Group

April Mid-Month Forecasts

Seasonal and Monthly forecasts for 2014
Forecast volumes in thousands of acre-feet (KAF)
Exceedance probabilities in percent


Rio Blanco  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    22.0    35.0    48.0     


Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    27.0    40.0    53.0     


Little Navajo near Chromo FORECAST 
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul     2.5     3.7    5.0     
       Apr     0.5     0.7    0.9
       May     1.6     2.2    2.9
       Jun     0.3     0.6    0.9

Vallecito Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   119.0   171.0   220.0     
       Apr    16.0    21.0    28.0
       May    49.0    68.0    81.0
       Jun    38.0    60.0    83.0


Navajo Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   355.0   495.0   640.0     
       Apr    90.0   112.0   130.0
       May   155.0   215.0   255.0
       Jun   100.0   140.0   215.0


Animas - Durango FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   280.0   395.0   495.0     
       Apr    34.0    45.0    60.0
       May   110.0   157.0   190.0
       Jun   101.0   140.0   185.0


Lemon Reservoir FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    27.0    45.0    64.0     
       Apr     3.0     5.0     8.0
       May    14.0    20.0    25.0
       Jun     9.0    16.0    24.0