SLCESPCO
National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
June 2, 2014

San Juan Basin Special Forecast Group

June Final Forecasts

Seasonal and Monthly forecasts for 2014
Forecast volumes in thousands of acre-feet (KAF)
Exceedance probabilities in percent


Rio Blanco FORECAST                   OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%     Apr     May 
   Apr-Jul    30.0    33.0    36.0     8.4    14.5  


Navajo-Chromo FORECAST                OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%      Apr     May 
   Apr-Jul    32.0    36.0    39.0      7.5    12.2  


Little Navajo near Chromo FORECAST    OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%      Apr     May
   Apr-Jul     1.7     1.9    2.1       0.3     1.2
       Jun     0.2     0.3    0.4
       Jul     0.0     0.1    0.2
       Aug     0.1     0.2    0.3 

Vallecito Reservoir FORECAST          OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%      Apr     May 
   Apr-Jul   160.0   169.0   188.0     28.0    60.0  
       Jun    55.0    60.0    70.0
       Jul    17.0    21.0    30.0
       Aug    11.0    16.0    28.0


Navajo Reservoir FORECAST             OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%      Apr     May 
   Apr-Jul   430.0   455.0   495.0    123.0   176.0  
       Jun   118.0   136.0   151.0
       Jul    13.0    20.0    45.0
       Aug     8.0    23.0    48.0


Animas - Durango FORECAST             OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%      Apr     May 
   Apr-Jul   345.0   365.0   405.0     53.0   119.0  
       Jun   135.0   146.0   166.0
       Jul    38.0    47.0    67.0
       Aug    20.0    30.0    47.0


Lemon Reservoir FORECAST              OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%      Apr     May 
   Apr-Jul    36.0    42.0    47.0      7.5    16.5  
       Jun    10.0    14.0    17.0
       Jul     2.0     4.0     6.0
       Aug     1.7     3.3     5.9