SLCESPCO
National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
January 16, 2015

San Juan Basin Special Forecast Group

January mid-month Forecasts

Seasonal and Monthly forecasts
Forecast volumes in thousands of acre-feet (KAF)
Exceedance probabilities in percent


Rio Blanco  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    18.0    32.0    50.0     


Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    14.0    34.0    52.0     


Little Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul     1.6     2.9     6.2     
       Jan     0.0     0.1     0.2
       Feb     0.0     0.1     0.2
       Mar     0.2     0.3     0.4


Vallecito Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   115.0   160.0   230.0     
       Jan     3.5     5.5     6.5
       Feb     3.5     4.2     5.5
       Mar     4.8     7.0    11.0


Navajo Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   250.0   450.0   700.0     
       Jan    16.0    19.0    23.0
       Feb    15.0    20.0    30.0
       Mar    30.0    50.0    80.0


Animas-Durango  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   225.0   350.0   480.0     
       Jan    10.0    12.0    14.5
       Feb    10.0    11.0    13.0
       Mar    14.0    18.0    25.0


Lemon Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    27.0    42.0    65.0     
       Jan     0.6     0.8     1.0
       Feb     0.4     0.6     0.8
       Mar     0.8     1.3     2.2