SLCESPCO
National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
February 17, 2015

San Juan Basin Special Forecast Group

February mid-month Forecasts

Seasonal and Monthly forecasts
Forecast volumes in thousands of acre-feet (KAF)
Exceedance probabilities in percent


Rio Blanco  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    14.0    27.0    37.0     


Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    17.0    30.0    40.0     


Little Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul     0.7     1.9     3.5     
       Feb     0.1     0.1     0.2
       Mar     0.2     0.3     0.5
       Apr     0.4     0.5     0.9


Vallecito Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    70.0   130.0   185.0     
       Feb     4.0     5.5     7.0
       Mar     4.0     6.5    10.0
       Apr     9.0    14.0    25.0


Navajo Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   160.0   330.0   550.0     
       Feb    22.0    27.0    35.0
       Mar    30.0    40.0    54.0
       Apr    45.0    71.0   125.0


Animas-Durango  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   170.0   265.0   360.0     
       Feb    10.0    12.0    14.0
       Mar    15.0    18.0    22.0
       Apr    22.0    28.0    49.0


Lemon Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    17.0    32.0    46.0     
       Feb     0.8     0.9     1.2
       Mar     1.0     1.3     1.9
       Apr     1.5     3.0     6.5