SLCESPCO
National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
May 04, 2015

San Juan Basin Special Forecast Group

May final Forecasts

Seasonal and Monthly forecasts
Forecast volumes in thousands of acre-feet (KAF)
Exceedance probabilities in percent


Rio Blanco  FORECAST                   OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr 
   Apr-Jul    14.2    20.0    26.0        5.2  


Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST                   OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr 
   Apr-Jul    15.6    23.0    31.0        5.6  


Little Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST                   OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr 
   Apr-Jul     0.9     1.3     1.9        0.7  
       May     0.2     0.4     0.7
       Jun     0.0     0.1     0.3
       Jul     0.0     0.1     0.2


Vallecito Reservoir  FORECAST                   OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr 
   Apr-Jul    74.0    94.0   116.0       18.7  
       May    29.0    38.0    43.0
       Jun    19.0    26.0    36.0
       Jul     7.0    11.0    18.0


Navajo Reservoir  FORECAST                   OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr 
   Apr-Jul   170.0   230.0   300.0       80.0  
       May    70.0   100.0   125.0
       Jun    18.0    40.0    63.0
       Jul     2.0    10.0    32.0


Animas-Durango  FORECAST                   OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr 
   Apr-Jul   154.0   205.0   270.0       34.0  
       May    60.0    82.0    98.0
       Jun    45.0    65.0    95.0
       Jul    15.0    24.0    42.0


Lemon Reservoir  FORECAST                   OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr 
   Apr-Jul    15.4    22.0    30.0        4.8  
       May     6.0     9.0    12.0
       Jun     3.0     6.0     9.0
       Jul     1.5     2.1     4.0