SLCESPCO
National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
January 19, 2016

San Juan Basin Special Forecast Group

January mid-month Forecasts

Seasonal and Monthly forecasts
Forecast volumes in thousands of acre-feet (KAF)
Exceedance probabilities in percent


Rio Blanco  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    42.0    55.0    75.0     


Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    50.0    63.0    85.0     


Little Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul     4.5     6.5    12.0     
       Jan     0.1     0.1     0.1
       Feb     0.1     0.1     0.1
       Mar     0.2     0.3     0.6


Vallecito Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   155.0   200.0   270.0     
       Jan     5.0     6.0     7.0
       Feb     4.0     4.5     6.0
       Mar     5.0     9.0    15.0


Navajo Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   530.0   725.0  1020.0     
       Jan    20.0    22.0    24.0
       Feb    16.0    25.0    44.0
       Mar    50.0    85.0   130.0


Animas-Durango  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   310.0   420.0   535.0     
       Jan    11.0    12.0    13.0
       Feb     9.0    10.0    12.0
       Mar    13.0    17.0    28.0


Lemon Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    40.0    55.0    75.0     
       Jan     0.7     0.8     0.9
       Feb     0.6     0.7     0.8
       Mar     0.8     1.3     3.0