SLCESPCO
National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
February 2, 2018

San Juan Basin Special Forecast Group

February final Forecasts

Seasonal and Monthly forecasts
Forecast volumes in thousands of acre-feet (KAF)
Exceedance probabilities in percent


Rio Blanco  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    15.0    30.0    45.0     


Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    19.0    35.0    52.0     


Little Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul     1.0     3.0     5.0     
       Feb     0.1     0.2     0.3
       Mar     0.1     0.2     0.4
       Apr     0.2     0.5     1.0


Vallecito Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    38.0    75.0   130.0     
       Feb     3.0     3.5     4.0
       Mar     3.0     4.0     6.0
       Apr     4.0     8.0    13.0


Navajo Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   120.0   260.0   500.0     
       Feb    12.0    16.0    26.0
       Mar    20.0    35.0    45.0
       Apr    30.0    53.0    94.0


Animas-Durango  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    90.0   165.0   250.0     
       Feb     6.0     8.0    10.0
       Mar     9.0    12.0    16.0
       Apr    13.0    19.0    28.0


Lemon Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul     9.0    18.0    35.0     
       Feb     0.3     0.5     1.0
       Mar     0.5     1.0     1.5
       Apr     1.0     2.0     4.0