REGULATED VS. NATURAL FLOWS
An even more fundamental limitation is that peak forecasts describe
regulated (actual or observed) in-stream flow well into the future,
something difficult to do considering the number and changing nature of
diversions in the Colorado River and Great Basin watersheds (note: supply
forecasts deal with hypothetical "natural" flow - that which would have
resulted in the absence of regulation). The Colorado Basin River Forecast
Center routinely forecasts regulated streamflow, but only for several days
into the future. Further into the future and the ability to forecast reservoir
regulation becomes more limited.
DIFFERENT USES AND USERS
Peak flow forecasts are used for different purposes than water supply
volume forecasts. Users of these forecasts would include river
recreationists, flood control agencies, emergency service directors, wildlife
managers and anyone interested in the combined effect of watershed yield
and human regulation on the actual (observed) in-stream maximum mean
daily flows at a site.
FLOOD FLOWS
Please note that the flood flows contained in this document change
from year to year due to such channel processes as deposition and scouring.
Therefore, the flood flows that follow should only be applied to the current
runoff season.