FLOOD POTENTIAL IN THE EASTERN GREAT BASIN

The following are generalized discussions of the flood potential due to snowmelt in the Eastern Great Basin drainage as of May 1, 1999. Discussions are segregated by state. It is important to understand that the potential for flooding may increase dramatically if snowmelt accelerates rapidly due to above normal temperatures or if significant rain events occur.

UTAH:The potential for flooding due to snowmelt runoff has increased in the Great Salt Lake Basin. This is a result of very wet and cool weather conditions in April that delayed the onset of middle and high elevationsnowmelt and increased the snowpack. Therefore, a greater volume of water is expected to runoff in a shorter period of time. Although no forecast sites are expected to exceed flood stage at this time, bankfull conditions are probable on several streams with overbank flows possible on some.

Streams with the greatest potential for overbank flows include the Ogden River, Logan River, Blacksmiths Fork, and Little Bear River. Other streams in the Weber and Bear River Basins are likely to have high water with bankfull conditions possible. April-July runoff volumes are expected to range from near 70 to 110 percent of average.

The potential for flooding due solely to snowmelt runoff is not high at this time in the Sevier Lake Basin. Although April was very wet and cool in this area, snowpack below 9000 feet has been depleted. Higher elevation snowpack is minimal in areal coverage. April-July runoff volumes are expected to range from 40 to 75 percent of average.

IDAHO:The potential for flooding due to snowmelt runoff has increased over the last month due to cool wet weather in April. Specific forecast procedures do not exist for the Bear River Basin of Idaho, however high, possibly bankfull conditions are expected. However, flooding is not anticipated.