Forecasts throughout the spring generally were for above to much above average runoff for the April-July period and were influenced by the heavy snowpack. However, the forecast procedures did not account for the unusually heavy rain on snow events that occurred. Therefore forecasts throughout the season generally underestimated the resulting observations. Forecasts were increased as the season progressed and late season forecasts proved to be closer to the actual observed runoff.
Observed flows were generally near or exceeded the 10% exceedance probability values, indicating the unusual conditions during the spring of 1995. Heavier than normal rain and rain on snow events in the spring contributed to a greater than expected runoff.
Current data are unavailable for the numerous diversions existing in the Sevier Lake Basin. Therefore natural observed flows within the Sevier Lake Basin are subject to question.
