PREVIEW OF WATER YEAR '96

OUTLOOK FOR MAJOR FLOOD CONTROL RESERVOIRS USING THE EXTENDED STREAMFLOW PREDICTION (ESP) MODEL

NOTE: Colorado River flood control forecasts account for a smaller set of upstream adjustments than water supply forecast points.

At this early juncture in the forecast and snow accumulation season, there is a great deal of uncertainty in the April-July runoff forecast. In statistical terms, the confidence bounds around the most probable forecast are quite wide. Users are advised to make appropriate adjustments in their use of the numbers.