Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 30 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-316082Daily Model Output (20170530)
2017-06-016590
2017-06-027875
2017-06-039510
2017-06-0411196
2017-06-0512632
2017-06-0613184
2017-06-0713108
2017-06-0813334
2017-06-0913745
2017-06-1014764ESP Model Output (20170529)
2017-06-1114525
2017-06-1214329
2017-06-1313463
2017-06-1412873
2017-06-1512010
2017-06-1612027
2017-06-1711350
2017-06-1811439
2017-06-1911028
2017-06-2010881
2017-06-2111031
2017-06-2210822
2017-06-2311076
2017-06-2410824
2017-06-2510601
2017-06-2610136
2017-06-2710135
2017-06-2810016
2017-06-2910158
2017-06-309752
2017-07-019813
2017-07-029582
2017-07-038959
2017-07-048785
2017-07-058432
2017-07-068112
2017-07-077802
2017-07-087312
2017-07-097225
2017-07-106717
2017-07-116481
2017-07-126212
2017-07-136104
2017-07-145982
2017-07-155853
2017-07-165473
2017-07-175296
2017-07-185107
2017-07-194987
2017-07-204695
2017-07-214514
2017-07-224265
2017-07-234072
2017-07-243956
2017-07-253755
2017-07-263813
2017-07-273604
2017-07-283447
2017-07-293332
2017-07-303296
2017-07-313203



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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