Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 27 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-2811684Daily Model Output (20170627)
2017-06-2911190
2017-06-3011172
2017-07-0111044
2017-07-0210262
2017-07-039329
2017-07-048597
2017-07-058153
2017-07-067955
2017-07-077803
2017-07-087268ESP Model Output (20170626)
2017-07-097160
2017-07-106948
2017-07-116703
2017-07-126297
2017-07-135995
2017-07-145670
2017-07-155415
2017-07-165196
2017-07-175008
2017-07-184719
2017-07-194470
2017-07-204179
2017-07-213974
2017-07-223796
2017-07-233564
2017-07-243387
2017-07-253276
2017-07-263144
2017-07-273078
2017-07-282931
2017-07-292927
2017-07-302799
2017-07-312729



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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