Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 29 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-3010079Daily Model Output (20170629)
2017-07-0110011
2017-07-029799
2017-07-039246
2017-07-048488
2017-07-057885
2017-07-067688
2017-07-077543
2017-07-087273
2017-07-097138
2017-07-107286ESP Model Output (20170628)
2017-07-117078
2017-07-126665
2017-07-136222
2017-07-145785
2017-07-155480
2017-07-165242
2017-07-175002
2017-07-184755
2017-07-194516
2017-07-204208
2017-07-214111
2017-07-223824
2017-07-233624
2017-07-243450
2017-07-253292
2017-07-263167
2017-07-273058
2017-07-282958
2017-07-292924
2017-07-302800
2017-07-312720



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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