Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: July 04 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-07-056902Daily Model Output (20170704)
2017-07-066829
2017-07-076684
2017-07-086768
2017-07-096974
2017-07-107038
2017-07-116902
2017-07-126624
2017-07-136296
2017-07-145972
2017-07-155993ESP Model Output (20170704)
2017-07-165710
2017-07-175285
2017-07-184906
2017-07-194650
2017-07-204406
2017-07-214214
2017-07-224003
2017-07-233758
2017-07-243616
2017-07-253428
2017-07-263245
2017-07-273204
2017-07-283123
2017-07-293007
2017-07-302881
2017-07-312723



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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