Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: July 06 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-07-076928Daily Model Output (20170706)
2017-07-087018
2017-07-097101
2017-07-107060
2017-07-117088
2017-07-126993
2017-07-136753
2017-07-146401
2017-07-155976
2017-07-165582
2017-07-175607ESP Model Output (20170705)
2017-07-185216
2017-07-194888
2017-07-204666
2017-07-214351
2017-07-224070
2017-07-233836
2017-07-243685
2017-07-253508
2017-07-263361
2017-07-273298
2017-07-283204
2017-07-293112
2017-07-302918
2017-07-312794



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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