Green River - LaBarge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 24 2018

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2018-05-257196Daily Model Output (20180524)
2018-05-267961
2018-05-278490
2018-05-288692
2018-05-299117
2018-05-309491
2018-05-319270
2018-06-018681
2018-06-028239
2018-06-037891
2018-06-048011
2018-06-058161
2018-06-068019
2018-06-077674
2018-06-087000
2018-06-097505ESP Model Output (20180523)
2018-06-107261
2018-06-117186
2018-06-126900
2018-06-136550
2018-06-146921
2018-06-156581
2018-06-166337
2018-06-175906
2018-06-185918
2018-06-195513
2018-06-205438
2018-06-215367
2018-06-225271
2018-06-235307
2018-06-245049
2018-06-255210
2018-06-265006
2018-06-274970
2018-06-284768
2018-06-294781
2018-06-304607
2018-07-014558
2018-07-024490
2018-07-034337
2018-07-044073
2018-07-053931
2018-07-063646
2018-07-073619
2018-07-083427
2018-07-093377
2018-07-103328
2018-07-113160
2018-07-123053
2018-07-133047
2018-07-142844
2018-07-152774
2018-07-162721
2018-07-172645
2018-07-182674
2018-07-192519
2018-07-202422
2018-07-212315
2018-07-222278
2018-07-232090
2018-07-241988
2018-07-251923
2018-07-261973
2018-07-271980
2018-07-281891
2018-07-291754
2018-07-301710
2018-07-311673



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-15 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 15 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes so there is increasing uncertainty
past days 3-5.
- Days 16 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model. Some possible reasons are:
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs; diversions; etc.) above the
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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