McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: April 23 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-04-242477Daily Model Output
2017-04-252805
2017-04-263035
2017-04-272641
2017-04-282192
2017-04-292167
2017-04-301826
2017-05-011611
2017-05-021470
2017-05-031414
2017-05-042277ESP Model Output
2017-05-052338
2017-05-062333
2017-05-072276
2017-05-082282
2017-05-092286
2017-05-102233
2017-05-112171
2017-05-122136
2017-05-132189
2017-05-142036
2017-05-152120
2017-05-162139
2017-05-172432
2017-05-182396
2017-05-192481
2017-05-202544
2017-05-212422
2017-05-222418
2017-05-232241
2017-05-242193
2017-05-252225
2017-05-262162
2017-05-272197
2017-05-282148
2017-05-292305
2017-05-302347
2017-05-312410
2017-06-012157
2017-06-022039
2017-06-032217
2017-06-042132
2017-06-051963
2017-06-062003
2017-06-071950
2017-06-081780
2017-06-091805
2017-06-101629
2017-06-111597
2017-06-121794
2017-06-131774
2017-06-141622
2017-06-151569
2017-06-161532
2017-06-171474
2017-06-181365
2017-06-191318
2017-06-201252
2017-06-211241
2017-06-221180
2017-06-231099
2017-06-241020
2017-06-25933
2017-06-26865
2017-06-27854
2017-06-28761
2017-06-29684
2017-06-30640
2017-07-01588
2017-07-02541
2017-07-03501
2017-07-04471
2017-07-05443
2017-07-06416
2017-07-07396
2017-07-08376
2017-07-09359
2017-07-10341
2017-07-11327
2017-07-12319
2017-07-13303
2017-07-14289
2017-07-15270
2017-07-16263
2017-07-17251
2017-07-18240
2017-07-19227
2017-07-20216
2017-07-21215
2017-07-22209
2017-07-23214
2017-07-24200
2017-07-25213
2017-07-26207
2017-07-27218
2017-07-28197
2017-07-29225
2017-07-30217
2017-07-31206



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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