McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: April 25 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-04-262130Daily Model Output
2017-04-271980
2017-04-281912
2017-04-291837
2017-04-301558
2017-05-011426
2017-05-021538
2017-05-031700
2017-05-041544
2017-05-051342
2017-05-062045ESP Model Output
2017-05-072194
2017-05-082198
2017-05-092361
2017-05-102214
2017-05-112293
2017-05-122193
2017-05-132325
2017-05-142151
2017-05-152218
2017-05-162397
2017-05-172524
2017-05-182536
2017-05-192692
2017-05-202689
2017-05-212634
2017-05-222679
2017-05-232446
2017-05-242360
2017-05-252427
2017-05-262281
2017-05-272336
2017-05-282299
2017-05-292424
2017-05-302578
2017-05-312569
2017-06-012344
2017-06-022184
2017-06-032260
2017-06-042285
2017-06-052202
2017-06-062220
2017-06-072072
2017-06-081995
2017-06-091959
2017-06-101772
2017-06-111748
2017-06-121919
2017-06-131899
2017-06-141721
2017-06-151682
2017-06-161592
2017-06-171563
2017-06-181446
2017-06-191394
2017-06-201342
2017-06-211428
2017-06-221312
2017-06-231202
2017-06-241121
2017-06-251071
2017-06-26977
2017-06-271005
2017-06-28874
2017-06-29767
2017-06-30721
2017-07-01655
2017-07-02598
2017-07-03557
2017-07-04524
2017-07-05494
2017-07-06467
2017-07-07442
2017-07-08418
2017-07-09398
2017-07-10376
2017-07-11358
2017-07-12340
2017-07-13330
2017-07-14307
2017-07-15292
2017-07-16284
2017-07-17271
2017-07-18254
2017-07-19242
2017-07-20232
2017-07-21231
2017-07-22221
2017-07-23225
2017-07-24210
2017-07-25224
2017-07-26215
2017-07-27236
2017-07-28200
2017-07-29233
2017-07-30227
2017-07-31216



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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