McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: April 28 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-04-291418Daily Model Output
2017-04-301356
2017-05-011291
2017-05-021351
2017-05-031498
2017-05-041556
2017-05-051725
2017-05-062105
2017-05-072414
2017-05-082440
2017-05-092222ESP Model Output
2017-05-102112
2017-05-112184
2017-05-122171
2017-05-132092
2017-05-142045
2017-05-152014
2017-05-162226
2017-05-172423
2017-05-182439
2017-05-192501
2017-05-202412
2017-05-212496
2017-05-222538
2017-05-232335
2017-05-242253
2017-05-252226
2017-05-262189
2017-05-272178
2017-05-282139
2017-05-292346
2017-05-302394
2017-05-312340
2017-06-012279
2017-06-022131
2017-06-032218
2017-06-042173
2017-06-052117
2017-06-062070
2017-06-072013
2017-06-081907
2017-06-091865
2017-06-101745
2017-06-111735
2017-06-121816
2017-06-131819
2017-06-141593
2017-06-151568
2017-06-161498
2017-06-171451
2017-06-181332
2017-06-191348
2017-06-201214
2017-06-211302
2017-06-221217
2017-06-231127
2017-06-241077
2017-06-25998
2017-06-26922
2017-06-27899
2017-06-28821
2017-06-29729
2017-06-30686
2017-07-01621
2017-07-02563
2017-07-03527
2017-07-04490
2017-07-05460
2017-07-06433
2017-07-07409
2017-07-08387
2017-07-09381
2017-07-10362
2017-07-11351
2017-07-12334
2017-07-13319
2017-07-14298
2017-07-15280
2017-07-16273
2017-07-17260
2017-07-18244
2017-07-19231
2017-07-20221
2017-07-21223
2017-07-22213
2017-07-23217
2017-07-24206
2017-07-25217
2017-07-26209
2017-07-27224
2017-07-28198
2017-07-29231
2017-07-30226
2017-07-31213



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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