McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: April 30 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-011124Daily Model Output
2017-05-021450
2017-05-031623
2017-05-041589
2017-05-051608
2017-05-061865
2017-05-072351
2017-05-082609
2017-05-092474
2017-05-102169
2017-05-112557ESP Model Output
2017-05-122375
2017-05-132286
2017-05-142111
2017-05-152176
2017-05-162364
2017-05-172454
2017-05-182477
2017-05-192610
2017-05-202539
2017-05-212493
2017-05-222572
2017-05-232363
2017-05-242266
2017-05-252211
2017-05-262178
2017-05-272195
2017-05-282135
2017-05-292327
2017-05-302344
2017-05-312250
2017-06-012146
2017-06-022063
2017-06-032112
2017-06-042119
2017-06-052052
2017-06-061991
2017-06-071971
2017-06-081899
2017-06-091830
2017-06-101693
2017-06-111655
2017-06-121720
2017-06-131670
2017-06-141519
2017-06-151550
2017-06-161489
2017-06-171410
2017-06-181291
2017-06-191258
2017-06-201166
2017-06-211237
2017-06-221198
2017-06-231047
2017-06-24995
2017-06-25929
2017-06-26847
2017-06-27861
2017-06-28782
2017-06-29717
2017-06-30654
2017-07-01580
2017-07-02543
2017-07-03507
2017-07-04465
2017-07-05432
2017-07-06405
2017-07-07410
2017-07-08388
2017-07-09377
2017-07-10358
2017-07-11343
2017-07-12325
2017-07-13309
2017-07-14292
2017-07-15272
2017-07-16267
2017-07-17255
2017-07-18242
2017-07-19228
2017-07-20218
2017-07-21217
2017-07-22208
2017-07-23216
2017-07-24204
2017-07-25207
2017-07-26200
2017-07-27218
2017-07-28197
2017-07-29225
2017-07-30217
2017-07-31209



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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