McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 01 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-021109Daily Model Output
2017-05-031462
2017-05-041670
2017-05-051915
2017-05-062362
2017-05-072824
2017-05-082998
2017-05-092867
2017-05-102676
2017-05-112554
2017-05-122180ESP Model Output
2017-05-132212
2017-05-142072
2017-05-152178
2017-05-162386
2017-05-172455
2017-05-182494
2017-05-192645
2017-05-202594
2017-05-212496
2017-05-222477
2017-05-232395
2017-05-242290
2017-05-252243
2017-05-262232
2017-05-272221
2017-05-282147
2017-05-292367
2017-05-302376
2017-05-312384
2017-06-012134
2017-06-022089
2017-06-032093
2017-06-042167
2017-06-052100
2017-06-062051
2017-06-072001
2017-06-081925
2017-06-091866
2017-06-101780
2017-06-111678
2017-06-121722
2017-06-131678
2017-06-141504
2017-06-151564
2017-06-161519
2017-06-171441
2017-06-181329
2017-06-191326
2017-06-201184
2017-06-211280
2017-06-221240
2017-06-231105
2017-06-241016
2017-06-25934
2017-06-26896
2017-06-27880
2017-06-28795
2017-06-29728
2017-06-30665
2017-07-01592
2017-07-02555
2017-07-03517
2017-07-04473
2017-07-05440
2017-07-06412
2017-07-07414
2017-07-08392
2017-07-09391
2017-07-10364
2017-07-11354
2017-07-12336
2017-07-13320
2017-07-14304
2017-07-15275
2017-07-16276
2017-07-17263
2017-07-18251
2017-07-19230
2017-07-20220
2017-07-21224
2017-07-22215
2017-07-23222
2017-07-24205
2017-07-25210
2017-07-26206
2017-07-27219
2017-07-28199
2017-07-29226
2017-07-30220
2017-07-31210



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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