McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 05 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-061962Daily Model Output
2017-05-072570
2017-05-082932
2017-05-092808
2017-05-102739
2017-05-112452
2017-05-122014
2017-05-132093
2017-05-142302
2017-05-152435
2017-05-162577ESP Model Output
2017-05-172419
2017-05-182483
2017-05-192531
2017-05-202436
2017-05-212425
2017-05-222367
2017-05-232299
2017-05-242255
2017-05-252252
2017-05-262174
2017-05-272143
2017-05-282117
2017-05-292227
2017-05-302220
2017-05-312205
2017-06-012056
2017-06-021997
2017-06-032003
2017-06-041941
2017-06-051977
2017-06-061893
2017-06-071887
2017-06-081814
2017-06-091731
2017-06-101585
2017-06-111582
2017-06-121586
2017-06-131553
2017-06-141457
2017-06-151398
2017-06-161386
2017-06-171291
2017-06-181267
2017-06-191219
2017-06-201149
2017-06-211141
2017-06-221038
2017-06-23994
2017-06-24908
2017-06-25810
2017-06-26764
2017-06-27745
2017-06-28705
2017-06-29686
2017-06-30631
2017-07-01573
2017-07-02534
2017-07-03464
2017-07-04422
2017-07-05391
2017-07-06371
2017-07-07393
2017-07-08373
2017-07-09354
2017-07-10342
2017-07-11325
2017-07-12309
2017-07-13303
2017-07-14281
2017-07-15267
2017-07-16255
2017-07-17244
2017-07-18233
2017-07-19222
2017-07-20213
2017-07-21205
2017-07-22197
2017-07-23213
2017-07-24202
2017-07-25196
2017-07-26198
2017-07-27196
2017-07-28195
2017-07-29210
2017-07-30213
2017-07-31200



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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