McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 07 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-082861Daily Model Output
2017-05-092894
2017-05-102866
2017-05-112815
2017-05-122368
2017-05-132348
2017-05-142507
2017-05-152690
2017-05-162725
2017-05-172656
2017-05-182623ESP Model Output
2017-05-192660
2017-05-202520
2017-05-212498
2017-05-222454
2017-05-232432
2017-05-242310
2017-05-252243
2017-05-262206
2017-05-272148
2017-05-282169
2017-05-292217
2017-05-302206
2017-05-312139
2017-06-012029
2017-06-021931
2017-06-032001
2017-06-041881
2017-06-051949
2017-06-061933
2017-06-071892
2017-06-081811
2017-06-091695
2017-06-101561
2017-06-111585
2017-06-121549
2017-06-131518
2017-06-141387
2017-06-151389
2017-06-161371
2017-06-171276
2017-06-181205
2017-06-191205
2017-06-201151
2017-06-211027
2017-06-22975
2017-06-23963
2017-06-24847
2017-06-25803
2017-06-26709
2017-06-27694
2017-06-28628
2017-06-29632
2017-06-30573
2017-07-01530
2017-07-02495
2017-07-03464
2017-07-04430
2017-07-05403
2017-07-06380
2017-07-07370
2017-07-08355
2017-07-09337
2017-07-10320
2017-07-11305
2017-07-12295
2017-07-13294
2017-07-14268
2017-07-15256
2017-07-16244
2017-07-17243
2017-07-18233
2017-07-19214
2017-07-20205
2017-07-21198
2017-07-22197
2017-07-23215
2017-07-24204
2017-07-25194
2017-07-26198
2017-07-27195
2017-07-28196
2017-07-29205
2017-07-30208
2017-07-31194



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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