McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 08 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-093285Daily Model Output
2017-05-103281
2017-05-113386
2017-05-122909
2017-05-132672
2017-05-142881
2017-05-153004
2017-05-162917
2017-05-172748
2017-05-182592
2017-05-192665ESP Model Output
2017-05-202609
2017-05-212516
2017-05-222519
2017-05-232467
2017-05-242303
2017-05-252208
2017-05-262169
2017-05-272115
2017-05-282098
2017-05-292206
2017-05-302165
2017-05-312091
2017-06-012005
2017-06-021867
2017-06-031946
2017-06-041849
2017-06-051908
2017-06-061818
2017-06-071798
2017-06-081760
2017-06-091649
2017-06-101532
2017-06-111537
2017-06-121479
2017-06-131459
2017-06-141340
2017-06-151338
2017-06-161318
2017-06-171236
2017-06-181118
2017-06-191134
2017-06-201113
2017-06-21952
2017-06-22902
2017-06-23921
2017-06-24819
2017-06-25732
2017-06-26673
2017-06-27654
2017-06-28592
2017-06-29567
2017-06-30518
2017-07-01481
2017-07-02451
2017-07-03425
2017-07-04402
2017-07-05381
2017-07-06361
2017-07-07348
2017-07-08340
2017-07-09318
2017-07-10303
2017-07-11288
2017-07-12278
2017-07-13291
2017-07-14257
2017-07-15241
2017-07-16234
2017-07-17241
2017-07-18226
2017-07-19206
2017-07-20195
2017-07-21190
2017-07-22196
2017-07-23211
2017-07-24202
2017-07-25188
2017-07-26191
2017-07-27194
2017-07-28195
2017-07-29202
2017-07-30207
2017-07-31193



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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