McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 10 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-113299Daily Model Output (20170510)
2017-05-123217
2017-05-132852
2017-05-143085
2017-05-153166
2017-05-162904
2017-05-172488
2017-05-182297
2017-05-192214
2017-05-201998
2017-05-212341ESP Model Output (20170509)
2017-05-222407
2017-05-232352
2017-05-242296
2017-05-252201
2017-05-262260
2017-05-272161
2017-05-282165
2017-05-292183
2017-05-302190
2017-05-312136
2017-06-012042
2017-06-021866
2017-06-031969
2017-06-041942
2017-06-051983
2017-06-061873
2017-06-071846
2017-06-081814
2017-06-091721
2017-06-101616
2017-06-111595
2017-06-121475
2017-06-131423
2017-06-141356
2017-06-151338
2017-06-161311
2017-06-171276
2017-06-181159
2017-06-191133
2017-06-201093
2017-06-211005
2017-06-22895
2017-06-23963
2017-06-24799
2017-06-25730
2017-06-26697
2017-06-27662
2017-06-28618
2017-06-29564
2017-06-30523
2017-07-01489
2017-07-02460
2017-07-03426
2017-07-04400
2017-07-05379
2017-07-06359
2017-07-07357
2017-07-08344
2017-07-09322
2017-07-10312
2017-07-11296
2017-07-12296
2017-07-13283
2017-07-14268
2017-07-15256
2017-07-16244
2017-07-17249
2017-07-18231
2017-07-19214
2017-07-20203
2017-07-21198
2017-07-22204
2017-07-23201
2017-07-24205
2017-07-25194
2017-07-26186
2017-07-27198
2017-07-28201
2017-07-29198
2017-07-30203
2017-07-31199



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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