McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 12 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-132475Daily Model Output (20170512)
2017-05-142843
2017-05-152950
2017-05-162883
2017-05-172560
2017-05-182131
2017-05-191884
2017-05-201593
2017-05-211421
2017-05-221366
2017-05-231809ESP Model Output (20170511)
2017-05-241987
2017-05-252047
2017-05-262090
2017-05-272024
2017-05-282068
2017-05-292145
2017-05-302188
2017-05-312111
2017-06-011923
2017-06-021882
2017-06-031935
2017-06-041983
2017-06-052086
2017-06-061973
2017-06-071925
2017-06-081913
2017-06-091834
2017-06-101707
2017-06-111680
2017-06-121638
2017-06-131541
2017-06-141469
2017-06-151471
2017-06-161448
2017-06-171381
2017-06-181283
2017-06-191231
2017-06-201155
2017-06-211113
2017-06-221031
2017-06-231064
2017-06-24952
2017-06-25875
2017-06-26824
2017-06-27754
2017-06-28719
2017-06-29654
2017-06-30589
2017-07-01563
2017-07-02516
2017-07-03504
2017-07-04450
2017-07-05420
2017-07-06395
2017-07-07389
2017-07-08377
2017-07-09356
2017-07-10337
2017-07-11335
2017-07-12318
2017-07-13305
2017-07-14290
2017-07-15278
2017-07-16265
2017-07-17270
2017-07-18254
2017-07-19230
2017-07-20220
2017-07-21214
2017-07-22207
2017-07-23213
2017-07-24213
2017-07-25201
2017-07-26193
2017-07-27206
2017-07-28205
2017-07-29207
2017-07-30216
2017-07-31202



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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