McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 13 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-142783Daily Model Output (20170513)
2017-05-152805
2017-05-162736
2017-05-172441
2017-05-182040
2017-05-191751
2017-05-201526
2017-05-211377
2017-05-221346
2017-05-231477
2017-05-241765ESP Model Output (20170512)
2017-05-251845
2017-05-261972
2017-05-271938
2017-05-281997
2017-05-292062
2017-05-302109
2017-05-312086
2017-06-011906
2017-06-021900
2017-06-031956
2017-06-041923
2017-06-052068
2017-06-061986
2017-06-071953
2017-06-081913
2017-06-091865
2017-06-101742
2017-06-111704
2017-06-121641
2017-06-131598
2017-06-141465
2017-06-151500
2017-06-161492
2017-06-171417
2017-06-181324
2017-06-191241
2017-06-201201
2017-06-211145
2017-06-221067
2017-06-231071
2017-06-24980
2017-06-25892
2017-06-26798
2017-06-27806
2017-06-28743
2017-06-29653
2017-06-30592
2017-07-01556
2017-07-02518
2017-07-03520
2017-07-04457
2017-07-05426
2017-07-06398
2017-07-07402
2017-07-08380
2017-07-09358
2017-07-10343
2017-07-11344
2017-07-12326
2017-07-13313
2017-07-14297
2017-07-15284
2017-07-16283
2017-07-17271
2017-07-18255
2017-07-19235
2017-07-20225
2017-07-21217
2017-07-22218
2017-07-23218
2017-07-24214
2017-07-25203
2017-07-26196
2017-07-27209
2017-07-28209
2017-07-29209
2017-07-30216
2017-07-31203



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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