McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 14 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-153354Daily Model Output (20170514)
2017-05-163139
2017-05-172763
2017-05-182241
2017-05-191924
2017-05-201665
2017-05-211518
2017-05-221455
2017-05-231489
2017-05-241684
2017-05-251858ESP Model Output (20170513)
2017-05-261901
2017-05-271895
2017-05-281989
2017-05-292061
2017-05-302089
2017-05-312068
2017-06-011921
2017-06-021924
2017-06-031978
2017-06-041948
2017-06-052078
2017-06-062046
2017-06-072031
2017-06-081925
2017-06-091923
2017-06-101787
2017-06-111745
2017-06-121681
2017-06-131617
2017-06-141475
2017-06-151505
2017-06-161503
2017-06-171432
2017-06-181389
2017-06-191286
2017-06-201283
2017-06-211159
2017-06-221105
2017-06-231105
2017-06-241004
2017-06-25907
2017-06-26823
2017-06-27832
2017-06-28744
2017-06-29662
2017-06-30604
2017-07-01557
2017-07-02527
2017-07-03527
2017-07-04466
2017-07-05431
2017-07-06403
2017-07-07408
2017-07-08395
2017-07-09370
2017-07-10355
2017-07-11341
2017-07-12324
2017-07-13322
2017-07-14306
2017-07-15291
2017-07-16286
2017-07-17272
2017-07-18259
2017-07-19237
2017-07-20227
2017-07-21221
2017-07-22218
2017-07-23224
2017-07-24216
2017-07-25210
2017-07-26199
2017-07-27212
2017-07-28212
2017-07-29212
2017-07-30217
2017-07-31205



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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