McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 15 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-163016Daily Model Output (20170515)
2017-05-172748
2017-05-182180
2017-05-191816
2017-05-201576
2017-05-211448
2017-05-221386
2017-05-231511
2017-05-241678
2017-05-251866
2017-05-261946ESP Model Output (20170514)
2017-05-271914
2017-05-282013
2017-05-292128
2017-05-302124
2017-05-312193
2017-06-011952
2017-06-021955
2017-06-032032
2017-06-041986
2017-06-052155
2017-06-061985
2017-06-072030
2017-06-081959
2017-06-091931
2017-06-101800
2017-06-111766
2017-06-121680
2017-06-131600
2017-06-141460
2017-06-151503
2017-06-161516
2017-06-171441
2017-06-181386
2017-06-191314
2017-06-201340
2017-06-211159
2017-06-221106
2017-06-231070
2017-06-24977
2017-06-25903
2017-06-26829
2017-06-27799
2017-06-28735
2017-06-29665
2017-06-30617
2017-07-01562
2017-07-02526
2017-07-03526
2017-07-04468
2017-07-05429
2017-07-06397
2017-07-07403
2017-07-08377
2017-07-09355
2017-07-10349
2017-07-11332
2017-07-12315
2017-07-13320
2017-07-14305
2017-07-15290
2017-07-16291
2017-07-17277
2017-07-18253
2017-07-19232
2017-07-20222
2017-07-21216
2017-07-22223
2017-07-23218
2017-07-24214
2017-07-25209
2017-07-26195
2017-07-27211
2017-07-28215
2017-07-29213
2017-07-30216
2017-07-31207



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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