McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 16 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-172872Daily Model Output (20170516)
2017-05-182322
2017-05-191891
2017-05-201621
2017-05-211467
2017-05-221429
2017-05-231547
2017-05-241668
2017-05-251753
2017-05-261815
2017-05-272028ESP Model Output (20170515)
2017-05-282059
2017-05-292176
2017-05-302149
2017-05-312165
2017-06-011990
2017-06-021997
2017-06-032068
2017-06-042002
2017-06-052190
2017-06-062044
2017-06-072020
2017-06-081963
2017-06-091986
2017-06-101853
2017-06-111789
2017-06-121705
2017-06-131647
2017-06-141498
2017-06-151545
2017-06-161551
2017-06-171484
2017-06-181391
2017-06-191363
2017-06-201396
2017-06-211209
2017-06-221132
2017-06-231076
2017-06-241001
2017-06-25914
2017-06-26851
2017-06-27858
2017-06-28756
2017-06-29694
2017-06-30656
2017-07-01590
2017-07-02555
2017-07-03524
2017-07-04478
2017-07-05446
2017-07-06403
2017-07-07399
2017-07-08378
2017-07-09358
2017-07-10346
2017-07-11328
2017-07-12312
2017-07-13320
2017-07-14312
2017-07-15293
2017-07-16290
2017-07-17277
2017-07-18251
2017-07-19233
2017-07-20221
2017-07-21212
2017-07-22224
2017-07-23222
2017-07-24214
2017-07-25211
2017-07-26198
2017-07-27212
2017-07-28217
2017-07-29213
2017-07-30215
2017-07-31207



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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