McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 17 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-182312Daily Model Output (20170517)
2017-05-191933
2017-05-201643
2017-05-211493
2017-05-221421
2017-05-231494
2017-05-241644
2017-05-251722
2017-05-261730
2017-05-271866
2017-05-282061ESP Model Output (20170516)
2017-05-292125
2017-05-302172
2017-05-312143
2017-06-011997
2017-06-021974
2017-06-032006
2017-06-041947
2017-06-052086
2017-06-062053
2017-06-071956
2017-06-081893
2017-06-091958
2017-06-101848
2017-06-111775
2017-06-121709
2017-06-131667
2017-06-141499
2017-06-151530
2017-06-161545
2017-06-171461
2017-06-181386
2017-06-191359
2017-06-201389
2017-06-211213
2017-06-221140
2017-06-231051
2017-06-24989
2017-06-25904
2017-06-26856
2017-06-27812
2017-06-28748
2017-06-29695
2017-06-30660
2017-07-01608
2017-07-02558
2017-07-03517
2017-07-04479
2017-07-05443
2017-07-06402
2017-07-07400
2017-07-08379
2017-07-09359
2017-07-10348
2017-07-11330
2017-07-12314
2017-07-13315
2017-07-14304
2017-07-15289
2017-07-16276
2017-07-17263
2017-07-18249
2017-07-19231
2017-07-20218
2017-07-21212
2017-07-22219
2017-07-23221
2017-07-24212
2017-07-25211
2017-07-26198
2017-07-27211
2017-07-28218
2017-07-29213
2017-07-30213
2017-07-31206



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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