McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 18 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-191920Daily Model Output (20170518)
2017-05-201618
2017-05-211455
2017-05-221396
2017-05-231642
2017-05-241864
2017-05-252040
2017-05-262132
2017-05-272176
2017-05-282137
2017-05-292075ESP Model Output (20170517)
2017-05-302202
2017-05-312071
2017-06-011993
2017-06-021961
2017-06-031992
2017-06-041953
2017-06-052069
2017-06-062055
2017-06-071967
2017-06-081922
2017-06-091967
2017-06-101831
2017-06-111769
2017-06-121726
2017-06-131668
2017-06-141520
2017-06-151548
2017-06-161541
2017-06-171458
2017-06-181361
2017-06-191349
2017-06-201382
2017-06-211215
2017-06-221159
2017-06-231060
2017-06-24997
2017-06-25909
2017-06-26856
2017-06-27815
2017-06-28747
2017-06-29717
2017-06-30662
2017-07-01607
2017-07-02563
2017-07-03521
2017-07-04476
2017-07-05443
2017-07-06404
2017-07-07395
2017-07-08374
2017-07-09355
2017-07-10358
2017-07-11340
2017-07-12323
2017-07-13307
2017-07-14295
2017-07-15281
2017-07-16268
2017-07-17259
2017-07-18245
2017-07-19232
2017-07-20222
2017-07-21214
2017-07-22207
2017-07-23217
2017-07-24214
2017-07-25212
2017-07-26199
2017-07-27214
2017-07-28219
2017-07-29214
2017-07-30212
2017-07-31206



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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