McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 19 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-201633Daily Model Output (20170519)
2017-05-211502
2017-05-221475
2017-05-231730
2017-05-241822
2017-05-251842
2017-05-261874
2017-05-272070
2017-05-282354
2017-05-292524
2017-05-302238ESP Model Output (20170518)
2017-05-312166
2017-06-012000
2017-06-021962
2017-06-032031
2017-06-041931
2017-06-052051
2017-06-062029
2017-06-071952
2017-06-081903
2017-06-091905
2017-06-101773
2017-06-111720
2017-06-121690
2017-06-131598
2017-06-141507
2017-06-151519
2017-06-161511
2017-06-171398
2017-06-181296
2017-06-191277
2017-06-201302
2017-06-211145
2017-06-221106
2017-06-231019
2017-06-24955
2017-06-25867
2017-06-26809
2017-06-27776
2017-06-28700
2017-06-29661
2017-06-30625
2017-07-01568
2017-07-02527
2017-07-03492
2017-07-04454
2017-07-05423
2017-07-06388
2017-07-07377
2017-07-08357
2017-07-09345
2017-07-10334
2017-07-11318
2017-07-12302
2017-07-13293
2017-07-14284
2017-07-15271
2017-07-16260
2017-07-17250
2017-07-18237
2017-07-19223
2017-07-20213
2017-07-21208
2017-07-22200
2017-07-23207
2017-07-24210
2017-07-25208
2017-07-26195
2017-07-27211
2017-07-28215
2017-07-29210
2017-07-30210
2017-07-31204



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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