McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 20 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-211456Daily Model Output (20170520)
2017-05-221441
2017-05-231589
2017-05-241763
2017-05-251846
2017-05-262002
2017-05-272176
2017-05-282124
2017-05-291987
2017-05-301938
2017-05-312394ESP Model Output (20170519)
2017-06-012145
2017-06-022060
2017-06-032096
2017-06-041991
2017-06-052069
2017-06-062042
2017-06-071978
2017-06-081902
2017-06-091896
2017-06-101763
2017-06-111722
2017-06-121682
2017-06-131616
2017-06-141514
2017-06-151512
2017-06-161480
2017-06-171375
2017-06-181257
2017-06-191281
2017-06-201215
2017-06-211108
2017-06-221040
2017-06-23994
2017-06-24910
2017-06-25829
2017-06-26798
2017-06-27754
2017-06-28677
2017-06-29651
2017-06-30580
2017-07-01539
2017-07-02491
2017-07-03480
2017-07-04439
2017-07-05409
2017-07-06383
2017-07-07367
2017-07-08349
2017-07-09336
2017-07-10319
2017-07-11303
2017-07-12289
2017-07-13284
2017-07-14279
2017-07-15266
2017-07-16255
2017-07-17245
2017-07-18233
2017-07-19220
2017-07-20208
2017-07-21205
2017-07-22197
2017-07-23198
2017-07-24209
2017-07-25206
2017-07-26193
2017-07-27211
2017-07-28213
2017-07-29210
2017-07-30206
2017-07-31198



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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