McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 21 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-221491Daily Model Output (20170521)
2017-05-231682
2017-05-241848
2017-05-251923
2017-05-262157
2017-05-272133
2017-05-281998
2017-05-291860
2017-05-301832
2017-05-311862
2017-06-011973ESP Model Output (20170520)
2017-06-021923
2017-06-032019
2017-06-041976
2017-06-052099
2017-06-062055
2017-06-072047
2017-06-081964
2017-06-091947
2017-06-101857
2017-06-111771
2017-06-121711
2017-06-131678
2017-06-141566
2017-06-151525
2017-06-161553
2017-06-171431
2017-06-181366
2017-06-191363
2017-06-201236
2017-06-211187
2017-06-221107
2017-06-231087
2017-06-24996
2017-06-25911
2017-06-26851
2017-06-27817
2017-06-28750
2017-06-29669
2017-06-30614
2017-07-01584
2017-07-02526
2017-07-03513
2017-07-04468
2017-07-05443
2017-07-06400
2017-07-07383
2017-07-08360
2017-07-09348
2017-07-10334
2017-07-11317
2017-07-12302
2017-07-13290
2017-07-14292
2017-07-15278
2017-07-16270
2017-07-17266
2017-07-18245
2017-07-19229
2017-07-20212
2017-07-21212
2017-07-22211
2017-07-23203
2017-07-24217
2017-07-25211
2017-07-26204
2017-07-27222
2017-07-28218
2017-07-29216
2017-07-30213
2017-07-31204



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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