McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 22 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-231372Daily Model Output (20170522)
2017-05-241567
2017-05-251680
2017-05-261992
2017-05-272018
2017-05-281947
2017-05-291829
2017-05-301758
2017-05-311743
2017-06-011837
2017-06-021959ESP Model Output (20170521)
2017-06-032008
2017-06-041948
2017-06-052073
2017-06-061995
2017-06-072010
2017-06-081924
2017-06-091917
2017-06-101802
2017-06-111748
2017-06-121690
2017-06-131665
2017-06-141564
2017-06-151471
2017-06-161527
2017-06-171397
2017-06-181332
2017-06-191289
2017-06-201184
2017-06-211156
2017-06-221115
2017-06-231069
2017-06-24974
2017-06-25886
2017-06-26833
2017-06-27797
2017-06-28726
2017-06-29657
2017-06-30602
2017-07-01558
2017-07-02517
2017-07-03490
2017-07-04455
2017-07-05427
2017-07-06396
2017-07-07377
2017-07-08357
2017-07-09342
2017-07-10325
2017-07-11309
2017-07-12294
2017-07-13286
2017-07-14288
2017-07-15274
2017-07-16264
2017-07-17260
2017-07-18241
2017-07-19223
2017-07-20209
2017-07-21210
2017-07-22211
2017-07-23203
2017-07-24206
2017-07-25211
2017-07-26203
2017-07-27226
2017-07-28218
2017-07-29214
2017-07-30208
2017-07-31195



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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