McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 23 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-241578Daily Model Output (20170523)
2017-05-251762
2017-05-262069
2017-05-272128
2017-05-282027
2017-05-291817
2017-05-301809
2017-05-311891
2017-06-012122
2017-06-022249
2017-06-032118ESP Model Output (20170522)
2017-06-041988
2017-06-052043
2017-06-062003
2017-06-071981
2017-06-081913
2017-06-091923
2017-06-101817
2017-06-111780
2017-06-121711
2017-06-131688
2017-06-141563
2017-06-151495
2017-06-161515
2017-06-171414
2017-06-181356
2017-06-191287
2017-06-201190
2017-06-211135
2017-06-221138
2017-06-231066
2017-06-24970
2017-06-25879
2017-06-26840
2017-06-27806
2017-06-28719
2017-06-29670
2017-06-30615
2017-07-01568
2017-07-02512
2017-07-03499
2017-07-04455
2017-07-05429
2017-07-06393
2017-07-07377
2017-07-08357
2017-07-09344
2017-07-10327
2017-07-11311
2017-07-12296
2017-07-13289
2017-07-14287
2017-07-15273
2017-07-16264
2017-07-17259
2017-07-18242
2017-07-19222
2017-07-20211
2017-07-21209
2017-07-22214
2017-07-23205
2017-07-24206
2017-07-25213
2017-07-26205
2017-07-27226
2017-07-28219
2017-07-29212
2017-07-30207
2017-07-31196



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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