McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 24 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-251750Daily Model Output (20170524)
2017-05-262144
2017-05-272260
2017-05-282033
2017-05-291819
2017-05-301704
2017-05-311796
2017-06-011986
2017-06-022215
2017-06-032191
2017-06-042171ESP Model Output (20170523)
2017-06-052163
2017-06-062061
2017-06-072031
2017-06-081953
2017-06-091971
2017-06-101845
2017-06-111824
2017-06-121759
2017-06-131717
2017-06-141601
2017-06-151525
2017-06-161535
2017-06-171446
2017-06-181384
2017-06-191287
2017-06-201202
2017-06-211128
2017-06-221164
2017-06-231053
2017-06-24976
2017-06-25869
2017-06-26838
2017-06-27814
2017-06-28722
2017-06-29675
2017-06-30628
2017-07-01576
2017-07-02528
2017-07-03509
2017-07-04461
2017-07-05432
2017-07-06399
2017-07-07382
2017-07-08362
2017-07-09346
2017-07-10329
2017-07-11318
2017-07-12298
2017-07-13293
2017-07-14286
2017-07-15273
2017-07-16268
2017-07-17262
2017-07-18247
2017-07-19225
2017-07-20214
2017-07-21209
2017-07-22219
2017-07-23211
2017-07-24205
2017-07-25217
2017-07-26208
2017-07-27228
2017-07-28220
2017-07-29212
2017-07-30206
2017-07-31195



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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