McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 25 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-262228Daily Model Output (20170525)
2017-05-272333
2017-05-282172
2017-05-291951
2017-05-301834
2017-05-311811
2017-06-011983
2017-06-022134
2017-06-032155
2017-06-042100
2017-06-052115ESP Model Output (20170524)
2017-06-062091
2017-06-072020
2017-06-081952
2017-06-091929
2017-06-101807
2017-06-111791
2017-06-121731
2017-06-131676
2017-06-141571
2017-06-151500
2017-06-161510
2017-06-171428
2017-06-181369
2017-06-191257
2017-06-201188
2017-06-211105
2017-06-221139
2017-06-231024
2017-06-24950
2017-06-25847
2017-06-26814
2017-06-27783
2017-06-28697
2017-06-29650
2017-06-30604
2017-07-01563
2017-07-02515
2017-07-03490
2017-07-04450
2017-07-05418
2017-07-06390
2017-07-07371
2017-07-08351
2017-07-09338
2017-07-10322
2017-07-11316
2017-07-12291
2017-07-13288
2017-07-14281
2017-07-15268
2017-07-16262
2017-07-17258
2017-07-18245
2017-07-19221
2017-07-20210
2017-07-21205
2017-07-22218
2017-07-23209
2017-07-24201
2017-07-25215
2017-07-26204
2017-07-27221
2017-07-28212
2017-07-29211
2017-07-30203
2017-07-31188



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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