McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 27 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-282383Daily Model Output (20170527)
2017-05-292006
2017-05-301909
2017-05-311914
2017-06-012000
2017-06-022208
2017-06-032199
2017-06-042108
2017-06-052065
2017-06-062012
2017-06-072119ESP Model Output (20170526)
2017-06-082036
2017-06-091906
2017-06-101777
2017-06-111784
2017-06-121707
2017-06-131648
2017-06-141546
2017-06-151473
2017-06-161444
2017-06-171377
2017-06-181346
2017-06-191246
2017-06-201129
2017-06-211073
2017-06-221096
2017-06-23995
2017-06-24877
2017-06-25820
2017-06-26759
2017-06-27742
2017-06-28661
2017-06-29592
2017-06-30548
2017-07-01518
2017-07-02480
2017-07-03453
2017-07-04419
2017-07-05393
2017-07-06367
2017-07-07351
2017-07-08332
2017-07-09323
2017-07-10308
2017-07-11306
2017-07-12279
2017-07-13284
2017-07-14272
2017-07-15259
2017-07-16255
2017-07-17251
2017-07-18240
2017-07-19217
2017-07-20207
2017-07-21200
2017-07-22205
2017-07-23197
2017-07-24201
2017-07-25213
2017-07-26198
2017-07-27205
2017-07-28203
2017-07-29208
2017-07-30200
2017-07-31183



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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