McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 28 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-292166Daily Model Output (20170528)
2017-05-302027
2017-05-312098
2017-06-012189
2017-06-022352
2017-06-032474
2017-06-042411
2017-06-052267
2017-06-062189
2017-06-072093
2017-06-081971ESP Model Output (20170527)
2017-06-091887
2017-06-101790
2017-06-111772
2017-06-121668
2017-06-131623
2017-06-141513
2017-06-151453
2017-06-161423
2017-06-171352
2017-06-181320
2017-06-191219
2017-06-201107
2017-06-211055
2017-06-221050
2017-06-23977
2017-06-24884
2017-06-25818
2017-06-26753
2017-06-27721
2017-06-28634
2017-06-29569
2017-06-30532
2017-07-01500
2017-07-02463
2017-07-03433
2017-07-04404
2017-07-05382
2017-07-06361
2017-07-07344
2017-07-08327
2017-07-09312
2017-07-10297
2017-07-11301
2017-07-12278
2017-07-13280
2017-07-14267
2017-07-15255
2017-07-16253
2017-07-17244
2017-07-18233
2017-07-19216
2017-07-20205
2017-07-21198
2017-07-22197
2017-07-23190
2017-07-24199
2017-07-25212
2017-07-26193
2017-07-27199
2017-07-28201
2017-07-29207
2017-07-30199
2017-07-31184



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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