McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 29 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-302158Daily Model Output (20170529)
2017-05-312126
2017-06-012216
2017-06-022134
2017-06-032181
2017-06-042057
2017-06-052036
2017-06-062045
2017-06-072023
2017-06-081916
2017-06-091923ESP Model Output (20170528)
2017-06-101778
2017-06-111740
2017-06-121593
2017-06-131570
2017-06-141463
2017-06-151391
2017-06-161352
2017-06-171280
2017-06-181243
2017-06-191150
2017-06-201032
2017-06-21963
2017-06-22934
2017-06-23884
2017-06-24785
2017-06-25722
2017-06-26671
2017-06-27643
2017-06-28560
2017-06-29517
2017-06-30480
2017-07-01451
2017-07-02427
2017-07-03408
2017-07-04381
2017-07-05362
2017-07-06340
2017-07-07328
2017-07-08311
2017-07-09300
2017-07-10286
2017-07-11281
2017-07-12268
2017-07-13263
2017-07-14255
2017-07-15244
2017-07-16238
2017-07-17228
2017-07-18220
2017-07-19206
2017-07-20197
2017-07-21190
2017-07-22192
2017-07-23185
2017-07-24192
2017-07-25197
2017-07-26186
2017-07-27187
2017-07-28193
2017-07-29202
2017-07-30193
2017-07-31177



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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