McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 30 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-312079Daily Model Output (20170530)
2017-06-012128
2017-06-022354
2017-06-032272
2017-06-042118
2017-06-052074
2017-06-062051
2017-06-071927
2017-06-081807
2017-06-091728
2017-06-101831ESP Model Output (20170529)
2017-06-111770
2017-06-121629
2017-06-131630
2017-06-141497
2017-06-151453
2017-06-161444
2017-06-171363
2017-06-181335
2017-06-191231
2017-06-201115
2017-06-211052
2017-06-221009
2017-06-23940
2017-06-24844
2017-06-25791
2017-06-26722
2017-06-27690
2017-06-28605
2017-06-29551
2017-06-30508
2017-07-01474
2017-07-02450
2017-07-03425
2017-07-04401
2017-07-05379
2017-07-06355
2017-07-07343
2017-07-08325
2017-07-09311
2017-07-10296
2017-07-11287
2017-07-12274
2017-07-13273
2017-07-14263
2017-07-15251
2017-07-16246
2017-07-17236
2017-07-18227
2017-07-19214
2017-07-20203
2017-07-21195
2017-07-22199
2017-07-23191
2017-07-24197
2017-07-25199
2017-07-26191
2017-07-27192
2017-07-28197
2017-07-29207
2017-07-30198
2017-07-31183



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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