McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 31 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-012041Daily Model Output (20170531)
2017-06-022180
2017-06-032036
2017-06-042037
2017-06-052148
2017-06-062190
2017-06-072130
2017-06-081955
2017-06-091763
2017-06-101667
2017-06-111736ESP Model Output (20170530)
2017-06-121595
2017-06-131626
2017-06-141478
2017-06-151438
2017-06-161436
2017-06-171375
2017-06-181318
2017-06-191240
2017-06-201132
2017-06-211048
2017-06-221000
2017-06-23930
2017-06-24828
2017-06-25777
2017-06-26716
2017-06-27663
2017-06-28606
2017-06-29545
2017-06-30504
2017-07-01472
2017-07-02445
2017-07-03421
2017-07-04397
2017-07-05373
2017-07-06353
2017-07-07340
2017-07-08322
2017-07-09307
2017-07-10293
2017-07-11279
2017-07-12267
2017-07-13270
2017-07-14258
2017-07-15249
2017-07-16244
2017-07-17234
2017-07-18226
2017-07-19211
2017-07-20201
2017-07-21193
2017-07-22199
2017-07-23191
2017-07-24197
2017-07-25195
2017-07-26188
2017-07-27188
2017-07-28196
2017-07-29204
2017-07-30196
2017-07-31184



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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