McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 01 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-022221Daily Model Output (20170601)
2017-06-032056
2017-06-042187
2017-06-052378
2017-06-062403
2017-06-072284
2017-06-082117
2017-06-091992
2017-06-101885
2017-06-111773
2017-06-121704ESP Model Output (20170531)
2017-06-131632
2017-06-141507
2017-06-151452
2017-06-161440
2017-06-171381
2017-06-181315
2017-06-191248
2017-06-201164
2017-06-211062
2017-06-221006
2017-06-23909
2017-06-24829
2017-06-25762
2017-06-26715
2017-06-27703
2017-06-28612
2017-06-29545
2017-06-30506
2017-07-01474
2017-07-02442
2017-07-03417
2017-07-04396
2017-07-05373
2017-07-06352
2017-07-07338
2017-07-08319
2017-07-09305
2017-07-10290
2017-07-11282
2017-07-12269
2017-07-13267
2017-07-14259
2017-07-15253
2017-07-16242
2017-07-17235
2017-07-18225
2017-07-19212
2017-07-20200
2017-07-21193
2017-07-22202
2017-07-23194
2017-07-24197
2017-07-25195
2017-07-26185
2017-07-27184
2017-07-28196
2017-07-29202
2017-07-30195
2017-07-31185



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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