McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 02 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-032458Daily Model Output (20170602)
2017-06-042272
2017-06-052277
2017-06-062317
2017-06-072221
2017-06-082141
2017-06-092008
2017-06-101865
2017-06-111742
2017-06-121628
2017-06-131707ESP Model Output (20170601)
2017-06-141553
2017-06-151443
2017-06-161400
2017-06-171332
2017-06-181249
2017-06-191175
2017-06-201100
2017-06-21999
2017-06-22924
2017-06-23853
2017-06-24778
2017-06-25709
2017-06-26669
2017-06-27638
2017-06-28573
2017-06-29517
2017-06-30481
2017-07-01451
2017-07-02426
2017-07-03402
2017-07-04381
2017-07-05360
2017-07-06342
2017-07-07327
2017-07-08309
2017-07-09296
2017-07-10282
2017-07-11271
2017-07-12258
2017-07-13260
2017-07-14249
2017-07-15247
2017-07-16231
2017-07-17227
2017-07-18219
2017-07-19206
2017-07-20194
2017-07-21188
2017-07-22198
2017-07-23190
2017-07-24190
2017-07-25188
2017-07-26180
2017-07-27177
2017-07-28191
2017-07-29191
2017-07-30187
2017-07-31176



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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