McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 03 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-042516Daily Model Output (20170603)
2017-06-052218
2017-06-062221
2017-06-072192
2017-06-082118
2017-06-092039
2017-06-101914
2017-06-111789
2017-06-121653
2017-06-131476
2017-06-141537ESP Model Output (20170602)
2017-06-151442
2017-06-161406
2017-06-171337
2017-06-181267
2017-06-191196
2017-06-201112
2017-06-211016
2017-06-22939
2017-06-23863
2017-06-24783
2017-06-25721
2017-06-26673
2017-06-27648
2017-06-28585
2017-06-29528
2017-06-30486
2017-07-01454
2017-07-02426
2017-07-03402
2017-07-04382
2017-07-05361
2017-07-06343
2017-07-07327
2017-07-08310
2017-07-09296
2017-07-10282
2017-07-11273
2017-07-12260
2017-07-13259
2017-07-14250
2017-07-15245
2017-07-16231
2017-07-17225
2017-07-18219
2017-07-19206
2017-07-20195
2017-07-21188
2017-07-22195
2017-07-23188
2017-07-24190
2017-07-25189
2017-07-26180
2017-07-27177
2017-07-28190
2017-07-29191
2017-07-30188
2017-07-31176



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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