McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 04 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-052707Daily Model Output (20170604)
2017-06-062636
2017-06-072558
2017-06-082275
2017-06-092165
2017-06-102025
2017-06-111851
2017-06-121632
2017-06-131436
2017-06-141318
2017-06-151380ESP Model Output (20170603)
2017-06-161361
2017-06-171282
2017-06-181230
2017-06-191161
2017-06-201069
2017-06-21991
2017-06-22911
2017-06-23852
2017-06-24765
2017-06-25711
2017-06-26657
2017-06-27619
2017-06-28567
2017-06-29514
2017-06-30478
2017-07-01449
2017-07-02421
2017-07-03396
2017-07-04376
2017-07-05356
2017-07-06338
2017-07-07322
2017-07-08305
2017-07-09292
2017-07-10278
2017-07-11270
2017-07-12258
2017-07-13252
2017-07-14247
2017-07-15242
2017-07-16228
2017-07-17222
2017-07-18216
2017-07-19204
2017-07-20194
2017-07-21186
2017-07-22190
2017-07-23183
2017-07-24188
2017-07-25187
2017-07-26179
2017-07-27177
2017-07-28183
2017-07-29188
2017-07-30186
2017-07-31175



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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